Time to break down the numbers for the regular season finale. The Knights have had a long year, but let’s dig into the numbers to see how they stack up to the Bulls in this game.
Central Florida is averaging 14.7 PPG on the season while the USF defense is allowing 22.7 PPG on the year. They average 80.7 yards per game on the ground, 2.7 yards per carry and have a combined 4 rushing touchdowns. The USF defense allows 145.5 yards per game on the ground, 3.7 yards per carry, and have allowed 10 rushing touchdowns. They average 193.6 yards per game through the air, 5.4 yards per pass attempt, 10.6 yards per catch, and have 13 passing touchdowns on the season. The USF defense allows 230.1 yards per game through the air, 6.8 yards per attempt, 12.1 yards per catch and have allowed 13 passing touchdowns all year. Overall, they average 274.4 yards per game and 4.2 yards per play. On the other side, the bulls allow 375.5 yards per game and 5.1 yards per play. The USF defense has been good all year and have used the turnovers to help set up the offense.
On third downs, they are 48 for 158 (30%) and 4 for 15 on 4th downs. Opponents are 72 for 183 on third downs and 10 for 16 on 4th downs. They are 20 for 27 in the redzone with 12 of the 27 going for touchdowns. Opponents are 29 for 33 in their redzone drives with 19 of the 33 going for touchdowns against them.
The Knights are allowing 37.1 PPG on the year while USF is averaging 32.5 PPG (they should be able to get points in this game). They allow 197.1 yards per game on the ground, including 4.8 yards per carry and have allowed 22 rushing touchdowns on the season. USF is averaging 240 yards per game on the ground, 5.3 yards per carry and have 23 rushing touchdowns on the season. USF should be able to move the ball on the ground in this game. They allow 271.6 yards through the air, including 9 yards per pass attempt, 13.8 yards per catch and have allowed 28 passing touchdowns against them. The Bulls average 186.3 yards per game throwing, 8.4 yards per pass attempt, 13.8 yards per catch and have 21 passing touchdowns on the season. Overall, opponents are averaging 463.4 yards per game against them and 6.6 yards per play on average. USF is averaging 426.3 yards per game and 6.4 yards play. They should be able to move the ball in this game.
Opponents are 73 for 161 (45%) on third down and 7 for 11 on 4th downs against them. USF is 54 for 149 on third downs (36%) and 7 for 14 on 4th down. In the redzone, opponents are 44 for 49 with 34 of the 49 going for touchdowns. USF is 35 for 40 in their redzone drives with 26 of them going for touchdowns.
The Knights average 23.5 yards per kick return and 6 yards per punt return. USF is allowing 20.5 yards per kick return and 7.3 yards per punt return on the season. Opponents average 20 yards per kick return against them and 7.4 yards per punt return against them. USF is averaging 28.2 yards per kick return and 13.1 yards per punt return, so special teams could be another edge in this game for the Bulls.