Inside the numbers: Cincinnati

Posted: November 17, 2015 in Football
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It’s time to break down the numbers for this Friday night showdown at Raymond James Stadium. This is a huge game for both sides as they each look to get another win now that they are both bowl eligible. 

Offense

On offense, Cincinnati is averaging 38.7 PPG while the USF defense allows 22.3 PPG. They average 198 yards per game on the ground, 4.9 yards per carry and have 21 rushing touchdowns on the season. The USF rush defense allows 150.3 yards per game on the ground against them including 3.7 yards per carry and have allowed 14 rushing touchdowns on the season. They average 387.4 yards per game through the air, 9.3 yards per pass attempt, 14.7 yards per catch and have 27 passing touchdowns on the year. The USF pass coverage allows 219.8 yards per game through the air, 6.8 yards per pass attempt, 12.1 yards per catch and have allowed 12 passing touchdowns on the year. The secondary has been good but the Bearcats are a different type of monster on offense. Overall, they average 584.4 yards per game and 7.1 yards per play. The Bulls allow 3701. yards per game overall and 5.1 yards per play. The Bearcats are a very good offense and will attack the USF defense and push them to their limits.

They are 70 for 141 on third downs this season and are 7 for 10 on 4th downs. Opponents are 63 for 164 on third downs against the Bulls and are 10 for 16 on 4th downs (allowed 2 conversions on 4th down on Temple in the last game). They are 48 for 59 in redzone attempts with 34 of the 59 going for touchdowns on the year. USF opponents are 27 for 31 in redzone drives with 14 of the 31 going for touchdowns on the season.

Defense

The Bearcats allow 28.2 PPG on the year while the USF offense is averaging 29.3 PPG on the year. They allow 186.1 yards per game on the ground, 4.8 yards per carry, and have allowed 16 rushing touchdowns on the season. USF averages 227.9 yards per game on the ground, 5.2 yards per carry and have 20 rushing touchdowns on the season. USF relies on the run game and the Bearcats have struggled at times against the run. They allow 216.9 yards per game through the air, 6.7 yards per pass attempt, 12.1 yards per catch and have given up 15 passing touchdowns on the year. USF averages 184.9 yards per game through the air, 8.3 yards per pass attempt, 13.7 yards per catch and have 16 passing touchdowns on the year. Quinton Flowers has improved on getting the ball down the field and will need to continue to that trend in this game against a secondary that has given up some points all year. Overall, they allow 403 yards per game and 5.4 yards per play. The Bulls average 412 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play attempt.

Opponents are 44 for 144 on third downs this year (31%) and 8 for 17 on 4th downs against them. USF is just 43 for 144 (32%) on 3rd downs this year and 6 for 13 on 4th down. The Bulls ahve struggled all year to keep drives alive on third downs and have to improve against the Bearcats. Opponents are also 36 for 44 in redzone attempts with 23 of the 44 going for touchdowns. USF is 30 for 35 on redzone drives with 21 of the 35 going for touchdowns.

Special teams

The Bearcats average 20.7 yards per kick return and average 8.9 yards per punt return. The Bulls are allowing 21 yards per kick return and 6.5 yards per punt return against them on the year. USF has struggled on kick return coverage and has to sure up that part of their coverage units. They allow 23 yards per kick return and 9.8 yards per punt return. USF is averaging 26 yards per kick return and 13.5 yards per punt return. Tajee Fullwood and the returner have given the Bulls a spark and need to continue that trend in this game in what could be an offensive battle.

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